How to Weigh Benefits and Harm in
Considering Therapeutic Options: the NNT and Alternatives

Lonnie Wen, PhD
Clinical Education Consultant
Pfizer, Inc.

Objective:
To describe number-needed-to-treat (NNT), its utility, weaknesses, and selected alternatives

Methods:
Didactic presentation of how to calculate, interpret and use NNT to quantify expected therapeutic yield of an intervention; how well absolute measures, like NNT, perform compared to relative measures of therapeutic impact; and how to determine when NNT is most useful in weighing the benefits and harm among competing therapeutic alternatives.

Results:

  1. NNT is a simple way to express the absolute therapeutic yield of an intervention.
  2. It is essential to take baseline risk into account when calculating and interpreting absolute or relative measures of therapeutic yield.
  3. Physicians and patients are more likely to launch interventions based on relative measures of therapeutic yield.
  4. Patients may have difficulty in understanding what NNT tells them about the benefit/harm associated with an intervention.

Conclusions:

  1. Use of absolute measures, such as NNT, to describe therapeutic options, lead to more conservative decision-making and are potentially more useful.
  2. NNTs compared to absolute percent reduction are less frequently understood.
  3. PDA and web-based tools can assist with calculations.
  4. These measures are most helpful when best options are not clear or when patient input is needed.

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